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The People have Shown Their Strength 29:49
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Last updated: Monday, 10 March 2014 17:06
7 Reasons Why India Imports A Lot Of Silver 03:24
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Last updated: Wednesday, 05 February 2014 17:25
HOUSE OF CARDS -- Jeff Nielson 26:27
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FULL VIDEO: Putin speaks Ukraine, Yanukovich, Maidan, Crimea 01:04:22
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Last updated: Wednesday, 05 March 2014 10:18

Recent activities

Yesterday
Barbaric, disgusting, crimes-against-humanity, committed by thugs who have lost any semblance of humanity.



P.S. According to these butchers (and their commanders) seeing a Palestinian simply talking on a cellphone was considered to be a justifiable "reason" for murdering them.


Israeli Soldiers Describe How They "Shot Innocent Civilians Because They Were Bored"

www.zerohedge.com/news/2015-05-05/israel...ause-they-were-bored

On July 12 of 2014 we reported that "after conducting countless sorties and bombing raids aimed at Hamas operatives in Gaza during the fifth day of Operation Protective Edge, but resulting in well over a hundred innocent civilian deaths in the past week, Israel, realizing it is not generating any brownie points with the international "humanitarian" media, finally did what it had threatened to do over the last few days - launch a ground assault."

The ground assault promptly led to a mini-war in the Gaza Strip that left more than 2,100 Palestinians dead, of which 80% civilians, and reduced vast areas to rubble: a "war" which many speculated was a predetermined massacre by highly skilled, trained, and ethically drained Israeli soldiers who used civilians for target practice.

Yesterday we got confirmation of that when a group of Israeli veterans released what the WaPo describes as "sobering testimony from fellow soldiers that suggests permissive rules of engagement coupled with indiscriminate artillery fire contributed to the mass destruction and high numbers of civilian casualties in the coastal enclave."

In a 242-page report titled "This is How We Fought in Gaza 2014" which was accompanied by videotaped confessions that aired on Israeli TV, the organization of active and reserve duty soldiers, called Breaking the Silence, gathered testimonies from more than 60 enlisted men and officers who served in Gaza during Operation Protective Edge.

What they described was nothing short of mass butchery of civilians and a flaunting of the Fourth Geneva Convention: among the actions described by the soldiers are "reducing Gaza neighborhoods to sand, firing artillery at random houses to avenge fallen comrades, shooting at innocent civilians because they were bored and watching armed drones attack a pair of women talking on cellphones because they were assumed to be Hamas scouts...
07:10 PM
There was a very detailed, revealing, and UGLY look at the U.S. criminal justice system, in general, and the extreme perversion of "Baltimore" (in particular) at Zero Hedge today.

This reveals how the "Freddie Gray" death-by-brutality was in no way an anomaly, but (as I noted already) was a product of SYSTEMIC brutality, SYSTEMIC disregard for due process (and something called the "Constitution"), and SYSTEMIC fascism -- the belief ingrained into Baltimore police by the CHIEF OF POLICE that respecting the rights of citizens, and following the law itself were not as important as "fighting crime".

What is shocking/despicable/outrageous is how Baltimore has defined "fighting crime" thanks to the perversion of justice which started (as always) AT THE TOP. While clearly Baltimore's brutal/over-zealous cops aren't "victims"; they are mere stooges/pawns.

REAL CULPABILITY for the death of Freddie Gray starts (as always) at the TOP, not with the police-thugs who actually committed this callous/brutal deed. This post at Zero Hedge (which was originally written at libertyblitzkrieg.com) makes it abundantly clear that everything about the Freddie Gray death (and the riots which followed) where


This is What Happens if You Defy Curfew – A Shocking 90 Second Video from the Streets of Baltimore


libertyblitzkrieg.com/2015/05/04/this-is...treets-of-baltimore/

On Saturday night, a man who’s name still seems to be unknown, but who was wearing a “Fuck the Police” t-shirt, came out in front of police past the official curfew. This is what happened next...

07:00 PM
agau121 wrote:
I'm just speculating and probably not in a particularly focused way. Perhaps people in general are so overwhelmed, feel so hopeless and so resigned to an unfavorable outcome in some form or another that they don't want to make the effort.

For whatever it's worth, it seems that former Minister of National Defense of Canada, Paul Hellyer, has been quite outspoken about the nature of the banking cabal. He's 91 at this point, so he probably figures he has nothing much to lose.

I was also doing a little thought experiment, I suppose you could call it, and was trying to imagine what people in the west can possibly think the future holds for them at this point. I'm thinking of this more on a subconscious level, that is, what would be in the background of their awareness. It's difficult for me to imagine that the majority of people have a positive expectation.

I was also asking myself the question, if the people who would be Paul Craig Roberts' peers are not standing up to be counted as you say, then what are they doing instead? Are they engaged in ways of distracting and/or deluding themselves?



AgAu, I think that most are genuinely deluded. The same "don't worry, be happy" crap that is spewed at the Zombies also reaches the high-and-mighty. While some are part of the conspiracy, and some have figured things out, most remain totally blind -- because of the extreme "normalcy bias" which has been programmed into us. Practically no one can even imagine anything drastically different, and certainly not drastically worse.

This is more intellectual weakness than moral cowardice, so in that respect this doesn't directly address your point or my question. However, the refusal of otherwise intelligent people to open their eyes (and become aware of our dire straits) is nearly as unforgivable as those who choose to ignore what is happening.

Both categories of people fail in their duty of VIGILANCE, the duty of all citizens. "Believing what one is told" (and making no effort to verify the veracity of representations) is not what citizens do. They think for themselves, and form their own opinions. Equally, simply ignoring the corruption and economic destruction falls far short of the standards of citizens.

Some are simply afraid to follow down the road where their own analysis/reasoning leads. I've pointed out these types of analysts before. An example are the so-called "economists", who look at the same chart of U.S. money-printing which I have shown people ad nauseum.



As I've noted a hundred times before; this chart is unequivocal. It shows that the U.S. dollar has already passed the point-of-no-return in terms of a hyperinflation spiral. The only reason why the U.S. economy (and the dollar) are not already demonstrating this hyperinflation spiral is a function of two factors: MASSIVE (upward) manipulation of the dollar, and the banksters have sequestered most of their $trillions from "the real economy", hiving-off most of it in their derivatives casino.

The problem is that this can only delay the inevitable hyperinflation, not prevent it. At some point the manipulation and "sequestering" will simply fail, and the worthless dollar will acquire its true value. Any so-called economist who can't see this by looking at the same chart is either an incompetent poser, or is simply blinding themselves to the truth.
06:36 PM
Jeff Nielson created a new topic U.S. trade deficit explodes in the forums.
The U.S. deficit jumped to over $51 billion, a 6-year high. The irony here is that in the ass-backwards analysis here they talk about how this will lower first quarter growth (in the final revision). Yet exports actually rose, but imports exploded by over 7%.

This actually reflects a tiny semblance of LIFE in the U.S. economy, however. Totally dead economies don't need many imports -- as there is no consumer demand. The other thing that is surprising here is that the U.S. trade deficit tends to be lower (not higher) when the U.S. dollar is strong.

Again this contradicts the mainstream propaganda, which tells us that to "improve trade" we need to DESTROY our currencies -- as this will "stimulate exports". The problem with this nonsensical dogma is that nations may sell lots of goods by destroying their currencies they don't get PAID MUCH for all those goods (in real dollars). Thus nations with weak currencies may sell greater quantities of goods, but have a worse trade balance, because their IMPORTS cost so much more (again in real dollars).

Effectively, what we do by destroying our currencies is to GIVE AWAY the production of our nations, whereas when we have strong currencies we may export less, but we are paid adequately for our goods, and imports become much cheaper when our currency is strong. The only nations which need to fear having a strong currency are nations which cannot produce anything efficiently. Efficient nations can still have substantial exports, even with strong currencies, because they produce goods comparatively cheaper than other nations.

It will be interesting to see if this dying economy can sustain these import/export levels going forward, even if the overall balance remains poor, as this is still (relatively) better than seeing a better balance -- but at much lower levels of imports/exports.


U.S. Trade Deficit Jumps To 6-Year High Of $51.4 billion

www.kitco.com/news/2015-05-05/US-Trade-D...Of-51-4-billion.html

The U.S. trade deficit in March jumped to the highest level in more than six years as a small increase in exports was swamped by a flood of imports from autos to cellphones.

The deficit rose to $51.4 billion, the largest trade gap since October 2008 and more than 43 percent higher than the February imbalance, the Commerce Department reported Tuesday.

Exports were up 0.9 percent to $187.8 billion, while imports increased 7.7 percent to $239.2 billion. The trade deficit is the short-fall between exports and imports.

Economists had expected the March deficit to expand, reflecting the resolution of labor disputes which had slowed shipments at West Coast ports. But the deficit was bigger than expected and will likely shrink an already anemic first quarter of economic growth...
06:08 PM
2 days ago
agau121 wrote:
Perhaps it is more important to focus on the message rather than the background of the messenger. Nonetheless, I cannot help but to wonder what key events over the past 30 or so years have caused him to rethink his positions.


AgAu, I'll flip that observation around on you. I can't believe how FEW people have stood up to be counted, not just in the U.S., but across the West. Obviously we're not the only ones to see how rotten things are, and to see how far and how low these pseudo-democracies have sunk.

Our "leaders" (past and present) are not, and were not all fools. Then again, with that "epidemic" of bankers who suddenly all decided to kill themselves by jumping off tall buildings; maybe these past-and-present "leaders" think that the real fools are the ones who do stand up...???

11:07 PM
Jeff Nielson replied to the topic Re: Jeff Nielson, for Sprott Money: in the forums.
The JPMorgan ‘Silver Hoard’: Is There Any METAL In It?

www.sprottmoney.com/news/the-jpmorgan-si...on-sprott-money-news

A recent report from GoldCore hysterically asks the question: is “JPMorgan cornering the silver market”? The use of the word “hysterical” is necessary here, as any sober consideration of this question would result in nothing but scoffs of derision.

What is interesting in that article is that the writer actually compares his hypothesis that JPMorgan is “cornering” the silver market (today) with a real, documented attempt to do so: the infamous Hunt Brothers episode of 1980. The point here is that any comparison to that episode makes it obvious that the writer’s hypothesis is not simply false, but absurd.

First let’s review what actually happened in the silver market, when the Hunt Brothers (along with some Arab investors) attempted to buy-up all available silver, starting in 1979. Before reviewing the facts, and for readers with limited market savvy, an obvious question: why would any person/entity want to “corner” the silver market (or any other market)? Answer: to make lots and lots of money.

When the Hunt Brothers began buying-up silver in 1979; the price of silver was at roughly $5/oz (USD). At the peak of their accumulation; the Hunt Brothers had roughly 200 million ounces of silver, and the price had increased ten-fold, all the way to $50/oz. And this ten-fold increase in price came even though the Hunt Brothers’ total holdings never reached 20% of global inventories...

05:55 PM
3 days ago
Jeff Nielson replied to the topic Re: Paul Craig Roberts and "Western insanity" in the forums.
On second thought; I do have something to add: two words hard-core fascism.
06:59 PM
Jeff Nielson created a new topic Paul Craig Roberts and "Western insanity" in the forums.
Normally I have a few thoughts to add when I read (and post a piece). Not this time; PCR has encapsulated things in brutally succinct terms...




Insanity Grips The Western World

www.paulcraigroberts.org/2015/04/27/insa...-paul-craig-roberts/

Just as Karl Marx claimed that History had chosen the proletariat, neoconservatives claim that History has chosen America. Just as the Nazis proclaimed “Deutschland uber alles,” neoconservatives proclaim “America uber alles.” In September 2013 President Obama actually stood before the United Nations and declared, “I believe America is exceptional.”

Germany’s political leaders and those in Great Britain, France, and throughout Europe, Canada, Australia, and Japan also believe that America is exceptional, which means better than they are. That’s why these countries are Washington’s vassals. They accept their inferiority to the Exceptional Country — the USA — and follow its leadership.

It is unlikely that the Chinese think that a handful of White People are exceptional in anything except their diminutive numbers. The populations of Asia, Africa, and South America dwarf those that comprise Washington’s Empire.

Neither do the Russians believe that the US is exceptional. Putin’s response to Obama’s claim of American superiority was: “God created us equal.” Putin added: “It is extremely dangerous to encourage people to see themselves as exceptional, whatever the motivation.”

If all countries are exceptional, the word loses its meaning. If America is exceptional, it means others are inferior for lacking this designation. Inferiors have less rights and can be bullied into submission or bombed into oblivion.

The Exceptional Country is above all the others and, therefore, doesn’t have to be concerned about how it treats them. Obviously, Americans and their vassals think America is exceptional as the millions of people murdered, maimed, and dislocated by Washington’s wars in eight countries in the 21st century has not resulted in condemnation of Washington. Merkel, Hollande, Cameron and the puppets in Canada, Australia, and Japan still suck up, holding tight to Washington...
06:57 PM
Dylan, Jeff Nielson replied to the topic Re: Climate Change conference in 2015 in the forums.
Jeff Wrote:
If chemtrails/cloud-seeding can be done to cause a warming effect; can it be used to produce an opposite effect?

It would appear so








Can Snow Storms Really Be Engineered?

There is a mountain of data including already conducted experiments, satellite imagery, lab tests of snow, observations on the ground, and multiple existing patents, all of which point solidly to the conclusion that snow storms are being engineered with well established weather modification processes. Two known patents for the process of “artificial ice nucliation for weather modification” are posted at the bottom of this article. The Chinese government has openly admitted they are creating “artificial snow storms” but later backtracked after causing a billion dollars of damage to Beijing. If the Chinese government can routinely create snow storms out of what should have been a rain event, how much more advanced must our government be at this same process? When monitoring radar images of rain during a storm, it is now common to see the rain “flash out” to snow for no appearant reason. No mountains, no colliding air mass, nothing. The “meteorologists” at the Rothschild’s/ military industrial complex owned Weather Channel call this “turning over to snow”. Why would rain just “turn over” to snow for no reason?

Engineered Ice Nucleation Cools Air Masses

Many of the snow events occurring around the US, even at this time of year, are amazingly still occurring at above freezing temperatures. Some are at temperatures of 10 degrees or more above freezing. How is this possible? Have the laws of physics changed?

It is done with various processes of chemical ice nucleation. This is the same as the first aid chemical ice pack. Mix the chemicals and you have ice. Whatever the existing temperatures of a storm and the surrounding air mass at the time the artificial nucleation is commenced, temperatures are lowered significantly further by the nucleation process. If the nucleation process is started at far above freezing temperatures, then the temps can fall to near freezing or below as the process continues. If the region where an “ice nucleated” event is being carried out is already well below freezing, the temperatures will fall to still lower temperatures. If the chemical nucleation process is inflicted aggressively enough, in already cold regions, temperatures can be driven to deadly levels well below zero. Northern Europe is currently in the grip of what appears to be just such a geoengineered event.


Geoengineered Snow Storms Wreaking Havoc around the Globe
www.geoengineeringwatch.org/geoengineere...-around-the-globe-2/

By augmenting the lower cumulus clouds, which have net cooling effect, and amplifying that effect by using ice-nucleating agents, the geoengineers can create artificial snow storms.

What would be the reason for this?
To fool the masses into believing that global warming isn't happening.
Compare this image showing the population distribution of the states with the other images.





The Polar (Scholar) vortex story of a drunken North pole wandering further south than usual does not stand up to scrutiny. The Artic is still warming, just look at the GISS map above. It clearly shows that the artificial cooling is being set up further south.

The cooling operations in the East are a Psy-op to fool the masses into believing global warming is not a reality. The trails are also more noticeable – occurring during the day and blotting out sunlight. These are the (chem) trails that people began noticing in the 90’s as they occurred with increasing frequency over populated areas. The geoengineers brought them in to mask their warming agenda.

The Ridiculously Resilient Ridge in the west is caused by warming weather modifcation which results in a weakening of the clockwise rotation of the high pressure system moving north and thus also the strength of the jetstream winds.

The Terribly Tenacious Trough in the east is caused by cooling weather modification resulting in a weakening of the counter-clockwise rotation of the low pressure system moving south and thus also the strength of the jetstream winds.

The air masses encroach further north and further south respectively leading to the meridional (wavy) pattern of the jet stream which is the result of climate engineering and not the cause. This pattern persists because covert weather modification operations persists ad nauseum.



Chemtrails, NEXRAD and the Deliberate Engineering of Climate Change Explained
chemtrailsplanet.net/2015/03/27/chemtrai...te-change-explained/
02:06 PM
Jeff Nielson wrote:
Assassinating all of the Little Peoples' unions was one of the highest priorities of the Oligarchs in turning us all into serfs. But note the WEALTHY get to keep their unions. They just call them "associations", and pretend that this somehow makes them different. The two most-corrupt unions in our societies are the doctors' union and the lawyers' union. Again, as with "0% interest rates"; this is a simple question of fairness. Either EVERYONE gets to 'borrow' (lol) at 0%, or no one does.

Either everyone is provided with the security and collective bargaining power of the union; or no one is. The TWO-TIER societies we live in, with the worst wealth-inequality we've see in 300 YEARS will not last much longer.



Being as I was close to sleepy last night and could not be entirely certain I was thinking clearly, I almost did not post my thoughts last night, but I'm very glad I did because it had SIMPLY NEVER OCCURRED TO ME to think of "associations" as being tantamount to labor unions, but no that it has been pointed out, it makes perfect sense. I'm glad Earl started this thread, and I'm glad I took the time to participate even though it meant getting further behind on work during a weekend in which I'm engaged in full tilt marathon to get caught up. Thanks BBC friends.
12:41 PM
Jeff Nielson created a new topic Germans helped NSA spy on Germans in the forums.
Most readers will recall that when Germany (supposedly) discovered that its U.S. 'ally' had been engaging in regular spying of that government that it created enormous outrage in Germany, and (supposedly) "strained relations" between the two governments.

Now, we find out that Germany's intelligence agency (BND) was helping the NSA to spy on "officials and firms in Europe". Now we can fully understand the perspective of the (corrupt) Merkel government when it comes to spying. It's OK to spy on anyone, any time...except for Merkel and her own political cronies.

Once upon a time; the femininists told us that having women in politics would improve our governments. What have we seen? Women like Margaret Thatcher, Kim Campbell, and Angela Merkel. And what have they proved? That just because a politician doesn't have a penus doesn't mean that she won't be just as corrupt and/or incompetent as those who do.




German prosecutors launch investigation of spying charges

www.reuters.com/article/2015/05/03/us-ge...dUSKBN0NO0G820150503

Germany's top public prosecutor will look into accusations that the country's BND foreign intelligence agency violated laws by helping the United States spy on officials and firms in Europe, including Airbus group, the federal prosecutors office said.

A spokesman for the prosecutors office confirmed weekend media reports that an investigation had been launched as opposition politicians demanded more information about the unfolding scandal from Chancellor Angela Merkel's government.

"A preliminary investigation has been started," the spokesman said. In a related development, federal prosecutor Harald Range himself will be questioned by a parliamentary committee looking into the affair in Berlin on Wednesday.

Der Spiegel magazine said the BND helped the U.S. National Security Agency over at least 10 years, embarrassing Germany and upsetting many in a country where surveillance is a sensitive topic due to abuses by the Nazis and the East German Stasi...
11:18 AM
4 days ago
Dylan, Dylan, Jeff Nielson replied to the topic Re: Climate Change conference in 2015 in the forums.
At least it can established that there is a definite correlation between the uneven distribution of global warming and the change in cloud ratios towards net warming.

I wrote a couple of articles that got posted on Chemtrails planet.


Clouded Vision – A Case for Climate Reverse Engineering – Part 1
chemtrailsplanet.net/2015/03/19/clouded-...-engineering-part-1/

This article makes the case that aircraft engine emissions which result in creation of artificial cirrus clouds are consistent with a conspiracy to warm the climate.

Particulate trails contribute to the formation of cirrus clouds. Cirrus clouds trap more Infrared radiation than the Solar radiation they reflect and so have an overall warming influence on global temperatures. These clouds have been on the increase over a time period that correlates with the unprecedented warming of the last thirty years.


Clouded Vision – A Case for Climate Reverse Engineering – Part 2
chemtrailsplanet.net/2015/03/20/clouded-...-engineering-part-2/

This article reveals the smoking gun of deliberate climate warming using massive aerosol deployments that manipulate cloud ratios in favour of selective arctic warming


Low level cloud cover has an overall warming effect in the polar regions 60° – 90° N and 60° – 90° S, contrary to an overall cooling effect everywhere else. High level cloud cover has an overall warming effect at all latitudes.

In the last few decades, overall cloud cover has increased at a significantly greater rate at the North Pole than at the equator and the South Pole. This UNEVEN pattern is correlated with an UNEVEN increase in global temperatures, 1.5°C in the North Pole and 0.35°C in the South Pole over a similar time period.

It is difficult to assign this uneven shift to the role of Carbon dioxide induced warming alone.

This is because Carbon dioxide, although emitted predominantly in the Northern Hemisphere (about 50 ° N), is a gas and thus MIXES EVENLY in the atmosphere throughout all the latitudes.
Changes in cloud cover could be one of the factors that account for this pattern.

03:02 PM
Rory, I'm with Eric Dubin here. In fact; I'm much more strident on this issue. All of the "New World Order" dogma is MYTHOLOGY created by the Old World Order (i.e. the One Bank) to distract people from and/or cover-up its own existence.

The Old World Order

My reasoning is similar to that of Mr. Dubin. The banksters (and their political puppets) have NOT been "play-acting" as they attempted to politically isolate, and then economically (or militarily?) destroy Russia. These are real "enemies", not like the farce of the U.S. Two-Party Dicatatorship, where the two political parties pretend to be on "opposite sides".

Economic Terrorism Against Russia Intensifies

And obviously all of the gold-buying by Russia and China is (at least) a long-term threat to the West's bankster empire, and that would NOT be a part of any play-acting if all these nations were secretly controlled by the same puppet master. This doesn't necessarily mean that the banksters are incapable of exerting INFLUENCE over the governments of China and/or Russia. But I don't see any evidence of control.
12:11 PM
Rory, I'm really surprised that more analysts don't reference the work of Chris Martenson in this area -- including Chris Martenson (lol).



Nearly a decade ago; Chris Martenson produced what I still consider to be the definitive analysis on "peak oil", and oil production in general. He discussed a concept which I have not seen any other analyst deal with in explicit terms, what he calls the "energy surplus" from oil production.

To put this concept to numbers, back in the early days of the oil industry when there were plenty of large oil fields, with cheap/easy extraction; the oil industry could extract 100 barrels of oil for every barrel they used producing that oil, thus the energy surplus was 100:1.

As the cheap/easy oil fields dried up, this ratio has plummeted steadily lower, to the point where (if I remember Martenson's numbers correctly), the AVERAGE energy surplus in global oil production today is 3:1. In other words, despite improvements in technology; oil extraction is more than 30 times less efficient (or 30 times more energy-intensive) than it used to be.

But that's just the average. When it comes to the really difficult/energy-intensive oil production (like Canada's tar sands, like the U.S.'s shale oil) that ratio drops steadily further. The ratio Martenson asserted was 1.1:1. In other words, for every barrel of oil used in this oil production, that barrel only yields 1.1 barrels of output. Making the numbers a little easier to understand; they USE 10 barrels of oil to PRODUCE 11 barrels of oil.



Now as I mentioned; this analysis is nearly a decade old. It's certainly possible that shale oil and/or tar-sands oil is a little more efficient than the pathetic ratio from Martenson's analysis. But the bottom-line is the same: the VAST majority of oil produced by shale oil, and tar sands oil is USED in the production of that oil. Very little is left over to actually be utilized by the global economy.

Big Oil is drilling for oil, just to get enough oil to drill for more oil. It is a near-useless waste of resources AND it's destroying the environment in much of North America. This was NEVER an economically efficient/economically rational form of energy production, and if it wasn't for the fact that Stephen Harper is GIVING AWAY our oil (to the U.S.) at a discount of 30% from benchmark prices; the U.S. shale oil industry would have NEVER been profitable -- even with the price of oil at/near $100 per barrel.

11:59 AM
Hey Rory, are there any "big names" in the Alternative Media whom you have not managed to interview? John Embry is another personal favorite and a strong influence on me as I went from precious metals investor to "precious metals analyst".

I haven't had time to listen to the clip yet, but did read your transcript/summary. Definitely a lot of heavy/serious issues in this one...

11:05 AM
Jeff Nielson replied to the topic Re: Site problems -- update in the forums.
I'm STILL waiting for our web-host to recover the lost data (i.e. posts and a commentary) which were lost when our domain was transferred last week. I've been advised to PUBLISH nothing new until this data is reloaded into our archives.

I suspect this might mean that the most-recent Forum posts could disappear when the old data is recovered. In other words, what I'm afraid will happen is this. When the web-host reloads the data that has been lost (Forum posts from April 22 - 28) that this will cause NEWER posts to disappear (those posted after April 28).

If this happens, I apologize for that aggravation. However, I want to assure all readers, and especially Forum users that this is not going to become a regular problem. Once this current snafu is dealt with (and however this plays out), there should be no future problems in posting on the Forum (nor with my own commentaries).

Please bear with us as we work out these kinks.

10:57 AM
5 days ago
debsyl replied to the topic Re: Climate Change conference in 2015 in the forums.
This is very interesting. Puts a whole new meaning to climate change!!

usawatchdog.com/geoengineering-fast-trac...apse-dane-wigington/
09:15 PM
SoT Ep 19 – Eric Dubin: The New World Order, Economic Collapse and Jade Helm 15

The United States is in the business of conducting war and China and Russia are in the business of conducting business. – Rory Hall, The Daily Coin

It doesn’t take a genius to figure out that the United States and the west are on the fast-track to collapse. But where do Russia and China fit into this picture? A lot of analysts assert that the New World Order will involve the western elitists working in cooperation with Russian and Chinese elitists and the collapse of the west has been planned all along.

I don’t think the facts speak to that thesis. The desires of the political elites, and the neocons in particular, are pretty explicit: these people are not interested in cooperation with Russia… – Eric Dubin, The News Doctors

Read more and watch video at: thedailycoin.org/?p=27470
04:04 PM
Steve St. Angelo | Silver, Shale, September – It’s Gonna Get Ugly

Does anyone believe the current gas prices are going to stay this low for much longer? Well, if you do, you may want to listen to what Steve St. Angelo from SRSrocco Report has to say. Shale is failing and will be on it’s last leg within the next 5 years and just about dried up completely within 10 years.

“The US shale gas industry is a commercial failure”. The US set up 35,700 drills, Russia set up 8,000 drills and Saudi Arabia 399. The US produces 11.7mm barrels of oil per day, Russia produces 10.9mm barrels per day and Saudi Arabia 11.4mm barrels per day. That’s a lot of more work for, basically, the same amount of production. That’s a lot more resources for, basically, the same volume of production. To be sure the US did produce more by-products, such natural gas liquids, condensate which is similar to gasoline. “We could see a significant fall by 2020-2025.”

Read more and watch video at: thedailycoin.org/?p=26951
04:03 PM
SoT Ep 20: John Embry Getting Closer to an Upside Silver Explosion


This blatant market manipulation activity to me suggests there’s something worse going on behind the scenes than you and I think…All i can see is increasing volatility in the system…this is blowing a hole in derivatives. Given how intrusive derivatives are on bank balance sheets there has to be problem that they are trying to cover up. – John Embry, Shadow of Truth

Rory and I hosted a conversation with John Embry on our Shadow of Truth program. We covered the blatant and ongoing market intervention by the Fed/Government, the movement toward getting rid of cash currency and converting the monetary system into one which is based fully on electronic currency, the precious metals market with an emphasis on silver and Jade Helm 15.

Read more and watch video at: thedailycoin.org/?p=27772
04:01 PM
There was an hilarious piece of gibberish published by GoldCore, claiming that JPMorgan (over a short period of time) has accumulated a silver hoard of 350 million ounces of "physical silver", as part of an effort to "corner the market" (lol!). I'm going to do a Sprott Money piece on this nonsense, so I don't want to steal my own thunder. So I'll just review what's in the article itself.

GoldCore actually compares JPMorgan's supposed hoard of "silver", and its supposed attempt to "corner the market" to a REAL hoard of silver, and a REAL attempt to corner the silver market -- the Hunt Brothers' episode of 1979 - 80. Note that the Hunt Brothers were charged and convicted of "cornering" the silver market, even though their own hoard (only 200 million ounces) was less than 20% of total global inventories at that time. Even so; the price of silver increased by a factor of ten, as a result of all that silver-buying.

Conversely, today we're supposed to believe that JPMorgan has "accumulated" 350 million ounces of silver, even though that's likely more than TOTAL (real) inventories; AND JPMorgan has supposedly 'squeezed' the silver market this tightly while prices have actually gone down.



Have a good laugh for the weekend...


JP Morgan Cornering Silver Bullion Market?


www.goldcore.com/us/gold-blog/jp-morgan-...lver-bullion-market/

- Why is JP Morgan accumulating the biggest stockpile of physical silver in history?
- Legendary silver analyst Ted Butler believes JP Morgan are in a position to corner silver market
- JP Morgan may be holding as much as 350 million ounces of physical silver
- JP Morgan realises the value of owning physical silver bullion today
- Silver at $16 today – Set to soar to over $50 again

JPMorgan Chase, the largest U.S. bank, one the largest providers of financial services in the world and one of the most powerful banks in the world has accumulated one of the largest stockpiles of silver the world has ever seen.

The total JP Morgan silver stockpile has increased dramatically in the last four years. In 2011, JP Morgan has little or no physical silver. By 2012, they had acquired 5 million ounces of silver bullion.

Incredibly, in the last 3 years their COMEX silver stockpile has increased tenfold and is now over 55 million ounces (see chart below)...
02:53 PM
agau121 wrote:


Democracy Now recently aired a segment that I thought did a good job of outlining the TPP. Congressman Alan Grayson of Florida was featured in the segment. I found these two quotes from Congressman Grayson in connection to the TPP particularly chilling:

"Now, I’m the first member of Congress to actually see any part of the TPP, even though 600 corporate lobbyists are, quote, "advisers" to the trade representative and they get to see everything. And I insisted they take that information to my office, and in return they told me I couldn’t take it with me, I couldn’t take it home, I couldn’t make notes on it, I couldn’t have my staff present. And here’s the kicker: They didn’t want me to discuss it with the media, the public or even other members of Congress. So it’s a farce. And it’s meant specifically to keep the information away from the American people, because if the American people knew what was going on, they’d recognize that it’s a punch to the face of the middle class in America."

Later in the segment, he goes on to say:

"Well, one of the sad and disturbing elements of this whole process has been the artificial secrecy that’s been imposed by the administration and by the trade representative on these dealings. I can’t think of any other occasion, when I’ve served in Congress, when I’ve seen the element of deception loom so large here. The public is better informed of Iraqi attacks on ISIS, which you’d think would be classified, than it is informed on a trade deal that’s going to determine our economic future for the next 20 years. What’s happened is that, right at the beginning, the trade representative took the absurd position that everything that was being negotiated was classified, even though it was directly in the hands of the foreign governments with whom he was negotiating. Remember, normally, we have a classified system to keep information away from our enemies, or at least other governments. In this case, it was the other governments that had the information, and it was Congress and the American people who were being denied the information. And they took that position for five years, even though 100 members of Congress wrote a letter to the trade representative saying, "Cut this out."



Alan Grayson is one of the few, honest politicians remaining in Washington, and what he's describing is very similar to the utter perversion of democracy (and political due process) which took place during the passage of "The Patriot Act" -- which put "the U.S. Constitution" through a paper-shredder.

None of these trade deals is anything but more more anti-capitalism, and more fascism. The euphemism of "free trade" which is attached to these fascist deals is not even a remotely accurate label. The only thing "free" here are all the Western jobs -- being given away for nothing by our Traitor Governments.

02:33 PM
Deepcaster updated a blog entry Opportunities in Imp...

 

I told them the real 2014 deficit was $5 trillion, not the $500 billion or $300 billion or whatever it was announced to be this year. Almost all the liabilities of the government are being kept off the books by bogus accounting. … all the spending on defense, repairing the roads, paying for the Supreme Court Justice salaries, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, welfare, everything, and take all those expenditures into the future, and compare that to all the taxes that are projected to come in, then the difference is $210 trillion. That is the fiscal gap. That is our true debt.”

— Lawrence Kotlikoff (economist, in testimony before the US Senate, a Professor of Economics at Boston University)

Unpayable Debts in the U.S.A., Eurozone, China & Japan virtually guarantee Mega-Moves in Key Sectors are coming.

“Financial assets now represent over 82% of the net worth of both households and US non-financial corporations (data: Federal Reserve Z.1 Flow of Funds). Except for periods where total net worth had itself retreated (for example, 2008-2010), the concentration of private net worth on financial assets, rather than real assets or productive capital, has reached the highest extreme in history in recent years. In our view, this is just temporarily overvalued paper masquerading as something durable. The previous extreme (again, outside of periods where net worth itself had retreated) was, not surprisingly, in Q1, immediately prior to The Tech Wreck.

— John Hussmann, 04/21/2015

Yes, indeed “Temporarily Overvalued Paper” accurately describes many “Markets.” And that which is Overvalued does not stay overvalued! Thus Mega-Moves are Impending and those who are prepared will Profit, and those unprepared will Suffer.

Recent below-expectation (except by Deepcaster and a few others) U.S. Retail Sales, Housing Starts, Business Equipment Sales, Jobs Reports and now GDP, among other indicators, show that the U.S. Economy is not recovering (as Deepcaster and a few others have been documenting for Months), despite the Happy Talk in the Main Stream Media (see Note 1, Shadowstats for the Real Numbers). Indeed, QE has mainly helped only The Private-for-Profit Fed’s Clients/Shareholders, the Mega-Banks, as well as creating a variety of Massive Asset Bubbles, including in Equities.

And Economies and Markets elsewhere reflect the same Economic Malaise and Bogus Official Numbers. The Equities Market in Indonesia is down over 7% in the last 3 days, as we write.

One Major Consequence of this Congeries of Bearish Real Data is that The Fed will be likely constrained to Keep Rates Lower Longer. Lower Rates Longer is only one of several Factors which signal a Weaker $US in the Months ahead.

No surprise to us as we wrote on April 29 when the $US was down a Massive 125 BPS to 94.80ish. (But, very short-term, we expect a Bounce.)

Indeed, we and others have documented the Reasons the $US is on the way to losing its Status as World’s Reserve Currency — a Mega Event to be sure.

We reiterate China’s Action in establishing an Investment Bank and New Development Bank and an Alternative Clearing System to the Western Bankers’ SWIFT System (Chinese International Payments System–CIPS), and its importing Massive Amounts of Physical Gold which we all can expect will serve to underpin a Gold-Backed Yuan as the next World’s Reserve Currency, and indeed for a Chinese/BRICS-led Financial System.

Of Course, the IMF has other ideas, namely to create a new Global Currency based on IMF Special Drawing Rights and controlled by the Globalist IMF and Bank for International Settlements.

Indeed, these Globalists (i.e., those opposed to National Sovereignty) have admitted as much in publications like the Rothschild’s controlled “The Economist” and articles like “Get Ready for The Phoenix”.

So much for National Sovereignty if IMF SDRs are allowed to become the World’s Reserve Currency.

Candidly, while the evidence is mounting that the $US will lose its World Reserve Currency Status — The Great Impending Mega-Move — we note that IMF SDRs would be yet another Fiat Currency.

And if, as we expect, the Gold-Backed Yuan emerges as The Competitor for World Reserve Currency we have little Doubt which will prevail.

Thus the Question is not whether the Chinese will de-peg Yuan from its Trading Range Tie to the $US, but when — yet another Impending Mega-Move, one which will not only mortally wound the U.S. Dollar, but als0 greatly injure U.S. and Western-Focused Equities Markets — a True Mega-Shift in Political as well as Economic Power— Mega-Events with Concurrent Mega-Moves, for sure.

And there is recent Precedent. Consider that when it was to their Advantage, The Swiss de-pegged from the Euro, without Warning, and, indeed, the De-Peg occurred only a few hours after the Swiss National Bank issued contrary Signals.

Moreover, considering the aforementioned Real Numbers, the U.S. is already in recession.

When this fact of a U.S. Recession (i.e., More Negative Economic and Market Data) becomes widely acknowledged, the present slow flight away from the U.S. Dollar will soon become a Rout. And that will create a Panic far beyond the Currency Sector. The run on the $US is probably weeks or a very few months off, but it could begin at any time.

And after that, U.S. Treasuries will take a Big Hit also.

Short-term, (next few weeks) however, U.S. Treasuries have been on a Strengthening Trajectory (See our recent Buy Recommendation) notwithstanding the recent weakness resulting from the Chinese Stimulus (lessening the Reserve Requirement Ratio [RRR] for the Banks), Weak GDP Numbers, and an ample supply of relatively high yielding corporate bonds and on April 30 – May 1 Rout in the German and other Eurozone Bond Markets resulting in Higher Yields, thus making them less uncompetitive with Higher U.S. Bond Yields.

Moreover, the Bubbles created by the Central Banks Money Wars are Huge — consider that Total Credit Risk in the U.S. is at Record Highs, i.e., higher than in Pre-Crash 2007.

Worldwide, there is $57 Trillion more Debt than 2007! A Massive Unpayable Debt Bubble Waiting to Pop, yet another Impending Mega-Move.

Yes, indeed, Another “Crisis will Hit” — the only questions are “When?” and “In which Sector First?”

No one can know the Exact Date The Crash Starts — it could be Triggered at any time by a “Black Swan” Event.

But one can evaluate Probabilities and make forecasts based on them as Deepcaster does and successfully did before the 2008 Crash (Note 2). And consider how Deepcaster’s Focus on Interventionals as well as Fundamentals and Technicals has facilitated forecasting the 2008 Crash as well as recent Profitable Positions (Note 3).

In the next few months, we expect the International Economic Contraction will worsen through 2015 and into 2016. For example, Japan’s QE is not helping — Japanese Retail Sales are down 9.7% Year-On-Year.

All the foregoing means that U.S. Treasuries should strengthen even more but onlyshort- to medium term (in the next very few months) with the 10 Year Yield possibly eventually spiking down to 1.5%.

But after the $US Crash, U.S. Treasuries are the Next to Fall (and their yields skyrocket), ending in “a very bad way” according to Investment Legend, Julian Robertson, with whom Deepcaster agrees. Excess Debt and Fed and other Central Banks’ Monetary inflation will have taken their toll. At some point after that (2016?) the Chinese will likely de-peg the Yuan from its $US trading range, and the Yuan (Gold- and BRICS-backed!) will then be the World’s Reserve Currency. We are Depressed by this prospect of that Authoritarian Government controlling The Reserve Currency, but is it better to know the Reality so one can cope, than to remain in Denial.

We reiterate that, because the Real U.S. Economic Data are Worsening, The Fed will likely not raise rates until much later this year or early next, unless Market conditions force them to, which is possible, but just not likely.

Indeed, we reiterate our earlier Forecast that, later this year or early next, The Fed will initiate another Round of QE to Bolster its Shareholder/Client Banks and Equities Values.

But while more QE will likely cause Equities to temporarily rebound, it also will weaken the $US even more as the Currency Wars intensify.

A Key Fundamental Problem is too much Debt worldwide (and especially in the U.S., Eurozone and Japan) — We reiterate, Global Debt is up $57 Trillion! since 2007, just before the Financial Crisis. And China’s Debt has quadrupled since 2007! with much of that money having gone into now obsolete infrastructure.

Eventually , Great Profits will be made if one shorts the $US and U.S. Treasuries at the right time. (Not yet!) We aim to forecast that Timing of the $US and Treasuries Bubble Bursting and to make Buy Recommendations. Stay tuned.

Going forward, consider as well, the ongoing increasing use of currencies other than the $US in International Transactions (see above) could spell a Sooner Doom for the $US (as World Reserve Currency, especially if increased significant Volumes of Crude Oil begin to be traded for Non $US Currencies.

Very long-term and when the $US Dramatically Tanks, the Precious Metals will Soar to Record Highs and Western Equities Markets Crash. This scenario could possibly launch at any time (but is probably still at least a few months away), on Black Swan Geopolitical Events. This $US Crash will shake Economies and Markets to the core, as the Economy transitions to a Yuan/BRICS based Gold-Backed World Reserve Currency. Looking long-term, the Swiss have recently already established a Chinese Yuan/Swiss Franc swap facility in Switzerland. Ominous for the $US long-term.

Couple all the aforementioned with the fact that Nominal Economic Growth Worldwide is Negative due to Economic Deflation — which creates a Disaster for Debt Repayment — and the Mess the Central Bankers have created looks increasingly likely to create a Nightmare including a Massive Equities Market Crash.

“Stocks rose Thursday, April 23rd. The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high intraday Thursday, and the NASDAQ Composite finally hit a new all-time high, exceeding its previous high of 5,048.62 back in March 2000. It only took a quadrupling of the money supply and hyperinflation that has lifted the cost of almost everything 5 to 10 times what it was 15 years ago for that index to get back to breakeven. If the same inflation affected the NASDAQ, it should be around 50,000 now, not 5,000. In real dollars, this index is lagging severely despite the nominal price achievement.” [Emphasis added.]

— Robert McHugh, 04/23/2015

In other words, the Central Bankers Monetary Hyperinflation (has and) is reducing the Purchasing Power of Fiat Currencies.

Ultimately, one Major Question is whether International Monetary Fund Special Depository Receipts are going to be the basis of the World’s Next Reserve Currency or the Gold- and Silver-backed Chinese Yuan. Since no Fiat Currency in World History has ever survived, the Answer is clear.

In sum, consider our Overview: we have increasing Economic Deflation which has been created primarily by years of Fed-led and other Central Bank MonetaryInflation. Even China recently opted for easier credit and Singapore and Sweden joined The Currency Wars via Devaluation, and Switzerland has recently indicated it will do the same!

These years of excesses of Monetary Inflation (primarily intended to protect the profits of The Fed’s and other Mega-Bank Shareholders/Clients) i.e. QE and Excess Credit, have been Capital Destructive (the more printed the less each Unit is Worth in Purchasing Power terms) thus we see the consequence – Economic Deflation around the World with the Middle Class and Working Poor and Savers and Retirees horribly squeezed.

And worse, the repeated rounds of Monetary Inflation will eventually lead to Hyper-Price Inflation and already have for Middle Class U. S. Citizens and Citizens elsewhere who have to pay increasing prices for Housing, Food and Medical Care. Result: Impending Stagflation, the worst of both worlds.

As far as Opportunities provided by the ongoing competitive Central Banks Monetary Inflation, i.e., Debasement, continuing and a possible Grexit and/or other nation/s exiting, plus more Eurozone QE, the Prospects for continuation of the Precious Metals thus-far-halting Launch up are excellent.

But the Cartel Precious Metals Price Suppression Efforts continue also and thus, The Launch will be accompanied by Takedowns.

But we reiterate, the prospect for lower rates for longer (and as a consequence of Weaker U.S. Economic Data) were and are a perfect recipe for Gold and Silver to move dramatically higher in $US and other Fiat Currencies terms. Just do not expect a Smooth Launch Up.

Best regards,

Deepcaster
May 1, 2015

Note 1: Shadowstats.com calculates Key Statistics the way they were calculated in the 1980s and 1990s before Official Data Manipulation began in earnest. Consider

Bogus Official Numbers vs. Real Numbers (per Shadowstats.com)

Annual U.S. Consumer Price Inflation reported April 17, 2015
-0.07%     /    7.51%

U.S. Unemployment reported April 3, 2015
5.57%     /     23.1%

U.S. GDP Annual Growth/Decline reported April 29, 2015
2.99%        /     -1.31%

U.S. M3 reported April 3, 2015 (Month of March, Y.O.Y.)
No Official Report     /   5.59% (i.e., total M3 Now at $16.605 Trillion!)

Note 2: We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s July, 2014 Letter entitled "Profit, Protection, Despite Cartel Intervention" in the ‘Latest Letter’ Cache at www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation, and manipulation in other Markets. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated profitably.

Note 3: Our attention to Key Timing Signals and Interventionals and accurate statistics has facilitated Recommendations which have performed well lately. Consider our profits taken in recent months in our Speculative and Fortress Assets Portfolios*

  • 60% Profit on a Telecommunications Company on March 11, 2015 after just over 3 years (i.e., about 20% Annualized)
  • 45% Profit on a Currency Double Short ETF on January 22, 2015 after just 9 months (i.e., about 59% Annualized)
  • 23% Profit on a leveraged ETN on the Volatility Index on January 6, 2015 after just 119 days (i.e., about 70% Annualized)
  • 85% Profit on a REIT on December 31, 2014 after just three years (i.e., about 25% Annualized)
  • 105% Profit on a leveraged ETN on the Volatility Index on October 15, 2014 after just 36 days (i.e., about 1090% Annualized)
  • 70% Profit on Russell 2000 Small Cap Sector Put on October 10, 2014 after just 2 days (i.e., about 12,275% Annualized)
  • 70% Profit on Russell 2000 Small Cap Sector Put on October 1, 2014 after just 8 days (i.e., about 3215% Annualized)

*Past Profitable Performance is no assurance of future Profitable Performance.

DEEPCASTER LLC
www.deepcaster.com
DEEPCASTER FORTRESS ASSETS, HIGH POTENTIAL
SPECULATOR & HIGH YIELD PORTFOLIOS
Wealth Preservation         Wealth Enhancement
Financial and Geopolitical Intelligence

 

 

02:03 PM
Deepcaster created a blog entry Opportunities in Imp...

 

I told them the real 2014 deficit was $5 trillion, not the $500 billion or $300 billion or whatever it was announced to be this year. Almost all the liabilities of the government are being kept off the books by bogus accounting. … all the spending on defense, repairing the roads, paying for the Supreme Court Justice salaries, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, welfare, everything, and take all those expenditures into the future, and compare that to all the taxes that are projected to come in, then the difference is $210 trillion. That is the fiscal gap. That is our true debt.”

— Lawrence Kotlikoff (economist, in testimony before the US Senate, a Professor of Economics at Boston University)

Unpayable Debts in the U.S.A., Eurozone, China & Japan virtually guarantee Mega-Moves in Key Sectors are coming.

“Financial assets now represent over 82% of the net worth of both households and US non-financial corporations (data: Federal Reserve Z.1 Flow of Funds). Except for periods where total net worth had itself retreated (for example, 2008-2010), the concentration of private net worth on financial assets, rather than real assets or productive capital, has reached the highest extreme in history in recent years. In our view, this is just temporarily overvalued paper masquerading as something durable. The previous extreme (again, outside of periods where net worth itself had retreated) was, not surprisingly, in Q1, immediately prior to The Tech Wreck.

— John Hussmann, 04/21/2015

Yes, indeed “Temporarily Overvalued Paper” accurately describes many “Markets.” And that which is Overvalued does not stay overvalued! Thus Mega-Moves are Impending and those who are prepared will Profit, and those unprepared will Suffer.

Recent below-expectation (except by Deepcaster and a few others) U.S. Retail Sales, Housing Starts, Business Equipment Sales, Jobs Reports and now GDP, among other indicators, show that the U.S. Economy is not recovering (as Deepcaster and a few others have been documenting for Months), despite the Happy Talk in the Main Stream Media (see Note 1, Shadowstats for the Real Numbers). Indeed, QE has mainly helped only The Private-for-Profit Fed’s Clients/Shareholders, the Mega-Banks, as well as creating a variety of Massive Asset Bubbles, including in Equities.

And Economies and Markets elsewhere reflect the same Economic Malaise and Bogus Official Numbers. The Equities Market in Indonesia is down over 7% in the last 3 days, as we write.

One Major Consequence of this Congeries of Bearish Real Data is that The Fed will be likely constrained to Keep Rates Lower Longer. Lower Rates Longer is only one of several Factors which signal a Weaker $US in the Months ahead.

No surprise to us as we wrote on April 29 when the $US was down a Massive 125 BPS to 94.80ish. (But, very short-term, we expect a Bounce.)

Indeed, we and others have documented the Reasons the $US is on the way to losing its Status as World’s Reserve Currency — a Mega Event to be sure.

We reiterate China’s Action in establishing an Investment Bank and New Development Bank and an Alternative Clearing System to the Western Bankers’ SWIFT System (Chinese International Payments System–CIPS), and its importing Massive Amounts of Physical Gold which we all can expect will serve to underpin a Gold-Backed Yuan as the next World’s Reserve Currency, and indeed for a Chinese/BRICS-led Financial System.

Of Course, the IMF has other ideas, namely to create a new Global Currency based on IMF Special Drawing Rights and controlled by the Globalist IMF and Bank for International Settlements.

Indeed, these Globalists (i.e., those opposed to National Sovereignty) have admitted as much in publications like the Rothschild’s controlled “The Economist” and articles like “Get Ready for The Phoenix”.

So much for National Sovereignty if IMF SDRs are allowed to become the World’s Reserve Currency.

Candidly, while the evidence is mounting that the $US will lose its World Reserve Currency Status — The Great Impending Mega-Move — we note that IMF SDRs would be yet another Fiat Currency.

And if, as we expect, the Gold-Backed Yuan emerges as The Competitor for World Reserve Currency we have little Doubt which will prevail.

Thus the Question is not whether the Chinese will de-peg Yuan from its Trading Range Tie to the $US, but when — yet another Impending Mega-Move, one which will not only mortally wound the U.S. Dollar, but als0 greatly injure U.S. and Western-Focused Equities Markets — a True Mega-Shift in Political as well as Economic Power— Mega-Events with Concurrent Mega-Moves, for sure.

And there is recent Precedent. Consider that when it was to their Advantage, The Swiss de-pegged from the Euro, without Warning, and, indeed, the De-Peg occurred only a few hours after the Swiss National Bank issued contrary Signals.

Moreover, considering the aforementioned Real Numbers, the U.S. is already in recession.

When this fact of a U.S. Recession (i.e., More Negative Economic and Market Data) becomes widely acknowledged, the present slow flight away from the U.S. Dollar will soon become a Rout. And that will create a Panic far beyond the Currency Sector. The run on the $US is probably weeks or a very few months off, but it could begin at any time.

And after that, U.S. Treasuries will take a Big Hit also.

Short-term, (next few weeks) however, U.S. Treasuries have been on a Strengthening Trajectory (See our recent Buy Recommendation) notwithstanding the recent weakness resulting from the Chinese Stimulus (lessening the Reserve Requirement Ratio [RRR] for the Banks), Weak GDP Numbers, and an ample supply of relatively high yielding corporate bonds and on April 30 – May 1 Rout in the German and other Eurozone Bond Markets resulting in Higher Yields, thus making them less uncompetitive with Higher U.S. Bond Yields.

Moreover, the Bubbles created by the Central Banks Money Wars are Huge — consider that Total Credit Risk in the U.S. is at Record Highs, i.e., higher than in Pre-Crash 2007.

Worldwide, there is $57 Trillion more Debt than 2007! A Massive Unpayable Debt Bubble Waiting to Pop, yet another Impending Mega-Move.

Yes, indeed, Another “Crisis will Hit” — the only questions are “When?” and “In which Sector First?”

No one can know the Exact Date The Crash Starts — it could be Triggered at any time by a “Black Swan” Event.

But one can evaluate Probabilities and make forecasts based on them as Deepcaster does and successfully did before the 2008 Crash (Note 2). And consider how Deepcaster’s Focus on Interventionals as well as Fundamentals and Technicals has facilitated forecasting the 2008 Crash as well as recent Profitable Positions (Note 3).

In the next few months, we expect the International Economic Contraction will worsen through 2015 and into 2016. For example, Japan’s QE is not helping — Japanese Retail Sales are down 9.7% Year-On-Year.

All the foregoing means that U.S. Treasuries should strengthen even more but onlyshort- to medium term (in the next very few months) with the 10 Year Yield possibly eventually spiking down to 1.5%.

But after the $US Crash, U.S. Treasuries are the Next to Fall (and their yields skyrocket), ending in “a very bad way” according to Investment Legend, Julian Robertson, with whom Deepcaster agrees. Excess Debt and Fed and other Central Banks’ Monetary inflation will have taken their toll. At some point after that (2016?) the Chinese will likely de-peg the Yuan from its $US trading range, and the Yuan (Gold- and BRICS-backed!) will then be the World’s Reserve Currency. We are Depressed by this prospect of that Authoritarian Government controlling The Reserve Currency, but is it better to know the Reality so one can cope, than to remain in Denial.

We reiterate that, because the Real U.S. Economic Data are Worsening, The Fed will likely not raise rates until much later this year or early next, unless Market conditions force them to, which is possible, but just not likely.

Indeed, we reiterate our earlier Forecast that, later this year or early next, The Fed will initiate another Round of QE to Bolster its Shareholder/Client Banks and Equities Values.

But while more QE will likely cause Equities to temporarily rebound, it also will weaken the $US even more as the Currency Wars intensify.

A Key Fundamental Problem is too much Debt worldwide (and especially in the U.S., Eurozone and Japan) — We reiterate, Global Debt is up $57 Trillion! since 2007, just before the Financial Crisis. And China’s Debt has quadrupled since 2007! with much of that money having gone into now obsolete infrastructure.

Eventually , Great Profits will be made if one shorts the $US and U.S. Treasuries at the right time. (Not yet!) We aim to forecast that Timing of the $US and Treasuries Bubble Bursting and to make Buy Recommendations. Stay tuned.

Going forward, consider as well, the ongoing increasing use of currencies other than the $US in International Transactions (see above) could spell a Sooner Doom for the $US (as World Reserve Currency, especially if increased significant Volumes of Crude Oil begin to be traded for Non $US Currencies.

Very long-term and when the $US Dramatically Tanks, the Precious Metals will Soar to Record Highs and Western Equities Markets Crash. This scenario could possibly launch at any time (but is probably still at least a few months away), on Black Swan Geopolitical Events. This $US Crash will shake Economies and Markets to the core, as the Economy transitions to a Yuan/BRICS based Gold-Backed World Reserve Currency. Looking long-term, the Swiss have recently already established a Chinese Yuan/Swiss Franc swap facility in Switzerland. Ominous for the $US long-term.

Couple all the aforementioned with the fact that Nominal Economic Growth Worldwide is Negative due to Economic Deflation — which creates a Disaster for Debt Repayment — and the Mess the Central Bankers have created looks increasingly likely to create a Nightmare including a Massive Equities Market Crash.

“Stocks rose Thursday, April 23rd. The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high intraday Thursday, and the NASDAQ Composite finally hit a new all-time high, exceeding its previous high of 5,048.62 back in March 2000. It only took a quadrupling of the money supply and hyperinflation that has lifted the cost of almost everything 5 to 10 times what it was 15 years ago for that index to get back to breakeven. If the same inflation affected the NASDAQ, it should be around 50,000 now, not 5,000. In real dollars, this index is lagging severely despite the nominal price achievement.” [Emphasis added.]

— Robert McHugh, 04/23/2015

In other words, the Central Bankers Monetary Hyperinflation (has and) is reducing the Purchasing Power of Fiat Currencies.

Ultimately, one Major Question is whether International Monetary Fund Special Depository Receipts are going to be the basis of the World’s Next Reserve Currency or the Gold- and Silver-backed Chinese Yuan. Since no Fiat Currency in World History has ever survived, the Answer is clear.

In sum, consider our Overview: we have increasing Economic Deflation which has been created primarily by years of Fed-led and other Central Bank MonetaryInflation. Even China recently opted for easier credit and Singapore and Sweden joined The Currency Wars via Devaluation, and Switzerland has recently indicated it will do the same!

These years of excesses of Monetary Inflation (primarily intended to protect the profits of The Fed’s and other Mega-Bank Shareholders/Clients) i.e. QE and Excess Credit, have been Capital Destructive (the more printed the less each Unit is Worth in Purchasing Power terms) thus we see the consequence – Economic Deflation around the World with the Middle Class and Working Poor and Savers and Retirees horribly squeezed.

And worse, the repeated rounds of Monetary Inflation will eventually lead to Hyper-Price Inflation and already have for Middle Class U. S. Citizens and Citizens elsewhere who have to pay increasing prices for Housing, Food and Medical Care. Result: Impending Stagflation, the worst of both worlds.

As far as Opportunities provided by the ongoing competitive Central Banks Monetary Inflation, i.e., Debasement, continuing and a possible Grexit and/or other nation/s exiting, plus more Eurozone QE, the Prospects for continuation of the Precious Metals thus-far-halting Launch up are excellent.

But the Cartel Precious Metals Price Suppression Efforts continue also and thus, The Launch will be accompanied by Takedowns.

But we reiterate, the prospect for lower rates for longer (and as a consequence of Weaker U.S. Economic Data) were and are a perfect recipe for Gold and Silver to move dramatically higher in $US and other Fiat Currencies terms. Just do not expect a Smooth Launch Up.

Best regards,

Deepcaster
May 1, 2015

Note 1: Shadowstats.com calculates Key Statistics the way they were calculated in the 1980s and 1990s before Official Data Manipulation began in earnest. Consider

Bogus Official Numbers vs. Real Numbers (per Shadowstats.com)

Annual U.S. Consumer Price Inflation reported April 17, 2015
-0.07%     /    7.51%

U.S. Unemployment reported April 3, 2015
5.57%     /     23.1%

U.S. GDP Annual Growth/Decline reported April 29, 2015
2.99%        /     -1.31%

U.S. M3 reported April 3, 2015 (Month of March, Y.O.Y.)
No Official Report     /   5.59% (i.e., total M3 Now at $16.605 Trillion!)

Note 2: We encourage those who doubt the scope and power of Overt and Covert Interventions by a Fed-led Cartel of Key Central Bankers and Favored Financial Institutions to read Deepcaster’s July, 2014 Letter entitled "Profit, Protection, Despite Cartel Intervention" in the ‘Latest Letter’ Cache at www.deepcaster.com. Also consider the substantial evidence collected by the Gold AntiTrust Action Committee at www.gata.org, including testimony before the CFTC, for information on precious metals price manipulation, and manipulation in other Markets. Virtually all of the evidence for Intervention has been gleaned from publicly available records. Deepcaster’s profitable recommendations displayed at www.deepcaster.com have been facilitated by attention to these “Interventionals.” Attention to The Interventionals facilitated Deepcaster’s recommending five short positions prior to the Fall, 2008 Market Crash all of which were subsequently liquidated profitably.

Note 3: Our attention to Key Timing Signals and Interventionals and accurate statistics has facilitated Recommendations which have performed well lately. Consider our profits taken in recent months in our Speculative and Fortress Assets Portfolios*

  • 60% Profit on a Telecommunications Company on March 11, 2015 after just over 3 years (i.e., about 20% Annualized)
  • 45% Profit on a Currency Double Short ETF on January 22, 2015 after just 9 months (i.e., about 59% Annualized)
  • 23% Profit on a leveraged ETN on the Volatility Index on January 6, 2015 after just 119 days (i.e., about 70% Annualized)
  • 85% Profit on a REIT on December 31, 2014 after just three years (i.e., about 25% Annualized)
  • 105% Profit on a leveraged ETN on the Volatility Index on October 15, 2014 after just 36 days (i.e., about 1090% Annualized)
  • 70% Profit on Russell 2000 Small Cap Sector Put on October 10, 2014 after just 2 days (i.e., about 12,275% Annualized)
  • 70% Profit on Russell 2000 Small Cap Sector Put on October 1, 2014 after just 8 days (i.e., about 3215% Annualized)

*Past Profitable Performance is no assurance of future Profitable Performance.

DEEPCASTER LLC
www.deepcaster.com
DEEPCASTER FORTRESS ASSETS, HIGH POTENTIAL
SPECULATOR & HIGH YIELD PORTFOLIOS
Wealth Preservation         Wealth Enhancement
Financial and Geopolitical Intelligence

 

 

02:02 PM
6 days ago
Jeff Nielson replied to the topic Re: Police Culture in Baltimore in the forums.
Earl, it's too bad that one of the posts which has "disappeared" from the Forum (temporarily?) was the post I did on an article by Chris Martenson on the SYSTEMIC BRUTALITY of U.S. police.

Where do systemic problems always start? At the TOP. So why isn't anyone pointing the finger at the POLICE CHIEFS and POLITICIANS who are responsible for systemic brutality by U.S. police?

As Chris Martenson pointed out; U.S. police are TRAINED to be highly-confrontational, in virtually any/every context. And then they are TRAINED to over-react to all confrontations. So first the U.S. police create confrontations, in situations where it was totally unnecessary to do so, and THEN they "over-react" -- i.e. beat their "suspect" to a pulp, or simply murder him.

As Martenson points out; this is merely one reason (of many) why the United States can no longer be regarded as a civilized nation.

08:21 PM

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